I korthet: detta inlägg publicerades som en insändare av Sydöstran den 24/9.
This post was published by the newspaper linked to above on 24 September. An English version is available below the Swedish text:
Ordet russofobi uppfanns som bekant av den forna Tsarregimen för att vifta bort mot de övergrepp som den utsatte den egna befolkningen för.
egreppet används flitigt av den nuvarande putinregimen som svar på regimens brott mot internationell rätt sedan den inledde kriget mot Ukraina 2014. Regimens ständiga tjatande om russofobi är patetiskt. Det används inte av demokratiskt valda regeringar. Ingen svensk regering skulle få för sig att kalla utländska kritiker för ”swefober”.
Published by Stockholm Free World Forum 10 September 2022
After failing to capture Kyiv, the Kremlin focused its efforts on seizing and holding Donbas region and the south of Ukraine. In Donbass, Kremlin’s scorched-earth tactics have recently stalled. Russia’s slow advance in Ukraine combined with substantial military casualties mean that Putin desperately needs a pause in the war to regain his army’s weakening strength. This may temporarily freeze the conflict, but it will not bring a permanent peace to Europe. Despite recent setbacks, Putin has not given up his hopes to destroy Ukraine and restore Russia’s influence on the territories of the former Russian empire. To prevent another war, Russia must be decisively defeated and forced to abandon its imperial ambitions argues Dr. Olena Stavrunova and Mats Marcusson.
Spoiler: Ukraineis full of heroes. Not only two-legged but also four-legged furry heroes. There are plenty of cats and dogs in the Ukrainian forces holding the lines against muscovite orcs. Ukrainians love their pets. Many who were forced to leave their homes following muscovy’s attacks brought their pets with them. There are also lots of exceptional Ukrainian heroes who stayed behind while orcs where around to make sure that animals would be fed.
Spoiler: putin wants us to believe that the sanctions on his death machine don’t work or are hurting us more than him. A recent analysis of sanctions show that sanctions do work! And recent data show that the russian industries are having severe problems producing new weapons.
The sanctions are hurting russia. russian gdp is expected to decline by at least 8 percent this year. The sanctions have caused russian imports to collapse in recent months. So much that the kremlin has banned the publication of trade statistics. Thus, the sanctions work and are hurting the little person’s death machine.
The negative effects of sanctions on the sanctioned country over time is analysed by a recent study. Usingthe new edition of the Global Sanctions Database, Kwon et. al. show that on average, an additional sanction decreases real GDP per capita in targeted countries by 0.39 percent.
Kwon et.al. also estimate the effects of different types of sanctions on GDP per capita growth. Trade sanctions reduce GDP per capita growth in the sanctioned country more than financial sanctions and travel sanctions. Trade sanctions decrease GDP per capita growth by 0.54 percent.