Fog för russofobi

I korthet: detta inlägg publicerades som en insändare av Sydöstran den 24/9.

This post was published by the newspaper linked to above on 24 September. An English version is available below the Swedish text:

Ordet russofobi uppfanns som bekant av den forna Tsarregimen för att vifta bort mot de övergrepp som den utsatte den egna befolkningen för.

egreppet används flitigt av den nuvarande putinregimen som svar på regimens brott mot internationell rätt sedan den inledde kriget mot Ukraina 2014. Regimens ständiga tjatande om russofobi är patetiskt. Det används inte av demokratiskt valda regeringar. Ingen svensk regering skulle få för sig att kalla utländska kritiker för ”swefober”.

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Furry Ukrainian heroes

Spoiler: Ukraineis full of heroes. Not only two-legged but also four-legged furry heroes. There are plenty of cats and dogs in the Ukrainian forces holding the lines against muscovite orcs. Ukrainians love their pets. Many who were forced to leave their homes following muscovy’s attacks brought their pets with them. There are also lots of exceptional Ukrainian heroes who stayed behind while orcs where around to make sure that animals would be fed.

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No matter what putin says, sanctions work!

Spoiler: putin wants us to believe that the sanctions on his death machine don’t work or are hurting us more than him. A recent analysis of sanctions show that sanctions do work! And recent data show that the russian industries are having severe problems producing new weapons.

The sanctions are hurting russia. russian gdp is expected to decline by at least 8 percent this year. The sanctions have caused russian imports to collapse in recent months. So much that the kremlin has banned the publication of trade statistics. Thus, the sanctions work and are hurting the little person’s death machine.

The negative effects of sanctions on the sanctioned country over time is analysed by a recent study. Usingthe new edition of the Global Sanctions Database, Kwon et. al. show that on average, an additional sanction decreases real GDP per capita in targeted countries by 0.39 percent.

Kwon et.al. also estimate the effects of different types of sanctions on GDP per capita growth. Trade sanctions reduce GDP per capita growth in the sanctioned country more than financial sanctions and travel sanctions. Trade sanctions decrease GDP per capita growth by 0.54 percent.

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Increase the sanctions on exports to russia!

Spoiler: The export sanctions are working even though the Kremlin says the opposite. The fact that increasing oil prices have increased russia’s current account is not a sign of success. russia’s imports have decreased drastically due to export sanctions on products that russia needs to kill civilian Ukrainians. The plunging imports are also due to non-sanctioning countries’ hesitation to export to russia because of fear of being on the wrong side of history.

But more export sanctions are necessary. Most export sanctions refer to high-technology products that can be used to kill Ukrainians. That is not enough. Not only chips and electronic components are used in the weapons and weapons systems that putin uses to kill Ukrainians. Also plastics, rubber, metals, textiles and other types of materials are needed.

Including also such products in the export sanctions will make it even more difficult for putin to fight his genocidal war. And secondary sanctions should be imposed to prevent other countries to use sanctioned countries’ products in exports

Imposing secondary sanctions are important because weapons are made by different industries located all over the world. The production in global value chains makes putin’s industries more sensitive for sanctions. By excluding products from global value chains reaching russia, russian industries’ abilities to produce more weapons will be severely limited.

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